Hard Light Productions Forums

Off-Topic Discussion => General Discussion => Topic started by: Primus on February 08, 2005, 09:22:52 am

Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Primus on February 08, 2005, 09:22:52 am: ..Can you picture them saying that it does and we all are going to do die!

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=96&e=1&u=/space/20050207/sc_space/closestflybyoflargeasteroidtobenakedeyevisible
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Janos on February 08, 2005, 09:23:56 am: I am praying for an error in calculations

"No worries guys it won't hit us oh shi
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Primus on February 08, 2005, 09:25:03 am: :lol:

Maybe it hits the moon instead...
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Taristin on February 08, 2005, 09:36:38 am: Bah! They're prepping for 2029 already?
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Fineus on February 08, 2005, 11:01:52 am: They must be quite confident in their predictions if it's really going to come that close...especially so many years away (on the human scale).
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Genryu on February 08, 2005, 11:48:09 am: "Hey ! What's this big light approaching ?"
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Jetmech Jr. on February 08, 2005, 02:02:42 pm: Quote
Originally posted by Janos
I am praying for an error in calculations

"No worries guys it won't hit us oh shi

At most it would cause some major regional damage. Nothing global.

Assuming it even hit.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: castor on February 08, 2005, 02:11:19 pm: "The asteroid is roughly estimated to be a little more than 1,000 feet (320 meters) wide."

Regional damage, huh? Well, I don't want it anywhere close my backyard thats for sure :)
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Rictor on February 08, 2005, 02:23:04 pm: Luckily, repeated viewings of Deep Impact have me well prepared for just such an event. The plan, as far as I'm concerned, is to stand defiantly on a slight hill and taunt the tidal wave until the moment I am swept away horifically to my doom.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Ford Prefect on February 08, 2005, 02:22:25 pm: Quote
Luckily, repeated viewings of Deep Impact have me well prepared for just such an event. The plan, as far as I'm concerned, is to stand defiantly on a slight hill and taunt the tidal wave until the moment I am swept away horifically to my doom.

I, too, was inspired by Deep Impact, but my plan was to find a hot girl and use the end of the world as an excuse to screw her.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Swamp_Thing on February 08, 2005, 02:25:02 pm: If it hits water, the asian tsunami will look like baby ripples in a pool.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: kode on February 08, 2005, 02:28:23 pm: stop screwing around with the forum time, admins.

and lucky me already lives in europe... ah, well, remind me in 24 years or so.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Genryu on February 08, 2005, 02:27:53 pm: *looks at Rictor and Ford' posts*
*search for a Rocky Horror Picture Show fan at Gamespy*
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Jetmech Jr. on February 08, 2005, 02:41:44 pm: Quote
Originally posted by castor
"The asteroid is roughly estimated to be a little more than 1,000 feet (320 meters) wide."

Regional damage, huh? Well, I don't want it anywhere close my backyard thats for sure :)

A 1-mile diameter rock would be something to worry about (10 mile wide crater, for one, IIRC).

This one is less than 1/5 that size. Near coastal areas, yeah, there'd probably be some major flooding and/or massive tsunamis (possibly worldwide, but I highly doubt it), but in deep ocean, probably minor effects. Over land, damage would be a bit more extensive, but nothing truly catastrophic, and nothing permament, AFAIK.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Jeryko on February 08, 2005, 03:44:24 pm: http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/impacteffects/

;7

Can have some fun with this...
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Jetmech Jr. on February 08, 2005, 03:48:07 pm: Where's the info required?
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Jeryko on February 08, 2005, 03:51:32 pm: You'll have to infer some of it, or do a little research on the roiud itself to be able to plug in all of the information.

EDIT: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2004mn4.html
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Andreas on February 08, 2005, 03:52:29 pm: Quote
Originally posted by Jetmech Jr.

A 1-mile diameter rock would be something to worry about (10 mile wide crater, for one, IIRC).

A 320 meter rock would be something to worry about, should it hit Earth (take Tunguska for an example). What if it would hit a densely populated area?

And Jeryko, kick-ass site :D
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Jetmech Jr. on February 08, 2005, 04:00:41 pm: Well, this is a very rough estimate using that site. I'm not entirely sure what some of those mean, but:

Quote
The Earth is not strongly disturbed by the impact and loses negligible mass.
The impact does not make a noticeable change in the Earth's rotation period or the tilt of its axis.
The impact does not shift the Earth's orbit noticeably.

...with a 3-4 mile wide Crater. Assuming it's composed of dense rock.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Andreas on February 08, 2005, 04:12:23 pm: It certainly won't annihilate the planet, and it would propably break up a little in the athmosphere on entry, but as I said, the casualties as well as the enviromental damage dealt could be severe should it "drop down" in any populated area.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Black Wolf on February 08, 2005, 04:37:26 pm: Quote
Originally posted by Ai No Koriida

A 320 meter rock would be something to worry about, should it hit Earth (take Tunguska for an example). What if it would hit a densely populated area?

And Jeryko, kick-ass site :D

Tungska wasn't a hit, it exploded in the atmosphere. Though the equivalent force of levelling 2000 square kilometers of forest over St. Petersburg (if it'd hit a few hurs earlier) wouldn't have been something you'd like to be close enough to witness.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Andreas on February 08, 2005, 04:42:44 pm: That was my point; even if it exploded in athmosphere, it still levelled 2,150 square kilometres, and was apparently equivelant of 10 to 15 MT.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Dark_4ce on February 08, 2005, 04:47:23 pm: Interesting... What the site descripted about the fly by was pritty much exactly what I saw 3-4 weeks ago when I saw that meteor fly past my house... Maybe they're not telling us something. ?

Pulse Jets, Earthquakes, changing global weather, asteroids heading towards earth, Anon banned. Coincidence?!! Or a conspiracy? :p
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Corsair on February 08, 2005, 04:50:07 pm: Yay Armageddon! Let's send up a bunch of Hollywood actors to pretend to save the world so that we won't panic as we all die.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: WMCoolmon on February 08, 2005, 05:40:56 pm: 2029, huh...why buy plane tickets when you could probably buy space tickets? Less chance of getting hit that way. :p
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Swamp_Thing on February 08, 2005, 06:26:08 pm: Somehow i don´t feel too confoprtable about the scientists predicted trajectory. They are calculating that an object travelling at tremendous velocity and subjected to various gravity forces would pass only 200km or less of the Earth, in 24 years time.
If they miscalculated by a single inch, that could mean either an impact or a complete miss...
Not that i mind, i will probably be dead by then, so who cares?!
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: karajorma on February 08, 2005, 06:34:34 pm: Quote
Originally posted by Ai No Koriida

A 320 meter rock would be something to worry about, should it hit Earth (take Tunguska for an example). What if it would hit a densely populated area?

A 10 metre asteroid can be something to worry about if it is a metallic asteroid rather than a rocky one.

Read up on the late Gene Shoemaker's report on the Wabar (http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/jwynn/3wabar.html) impact site if your interested.

That said I think this asteroid is most likely rocky.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: FireCrack on February 09, 2005, 01:02:51 am: Good, last time i checked this 'roid had a 1 in 60 chance of impact.
Title: It won't hit...
Post by: Janos on February 09, 2005, 09:43:34 am: This will propably be updated soon with "whoops, it will pass us by 200 000 000 kilometers, sorry guyz do we get more funding? no? **** you too"