Btw about extreme weather events, this just in:
Was there a basis for anticipating the 2010 Russian heat wave?
“analysis of forced model simulations indicates that neither human influences nor other slowly evolving ocean boundary conditions contributed substantially to the magnitude of the heat wave.”
New peerrreviwdpaper came out in GRL:
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2010GL046582.shtmlThey also provide evidence that such an intense event could be produced through natural variability alone. Analysis of observations indicate that this heat wave was mainly due to internal atmospheric dynamical processes that produced and maintained a strong and long-lived blocking event, and that similar atmospheric patterns have occurred with prior heat waves in this region. We conclude that the intense 2010 Russian heat wave was mainly due to natural internal atmospheric variability. Slowly varying boundary conditions that could have provided predictability and the potential for early warning did not appear to play an appreciable role in this event.
The worst part is, whenever someone is slightly skeptical of these anthropogenic connections, is immediately labeled as someone sinister, that these relations are "obious" and "evidently right". I am not speaking about anyone in this forum, mind you. I'm just venting what I see as the obnoxious phenomena of self-righteous bull****ters bullying everyone to their own delusions about what is the truth, and even claiming they belong to the tribe that is "reality-based".
