Why on Earth would Russia or China start a war with the United States in the foreseeable future? Russia may be on the up-and-coming, but they are still a decent way from being a challenge, and even further away from having a realistic reason for a war. China is perfectly satisfied with their economic position, they are more interested in money, and militarily, Taiwan.
Just a reminder of recent history:
South Ossetia.
There's good reason to believe that Russia wants to reclaim a few of the former Soviet republics and stop its direct neighbors from joining NATO. NATO is willing to lock horns with Russia over such issues, so its not entirely beyond the realm of reality to see Russian and US forces fighting over territory in Europe. Then you get into the tangle of allegiances in the Middle East, which is to say that every nation in the Middle East that Russia maintains positive relations with is one that nobody in the United States would be too sad to see topple.
Additionally, China has quite a wide variety of border disputes with nations that the United States recognizes as sovereign and independent of China. I doubt very highly that the US Pacific Fleet would be allowed to stand idly by, should China get it in its head to stomp all over Taiwan. Then there's the hornet's nest that is Korea that could indirectly draw the United States and China into direct confrontation.
It's kind of funny how the ideological component of the Cold War more or less ended, but the material and territorial disputes remain. To say that there's no chance of a conflict between the United States and one of the regional powers of the eastern hemisphere is naive.
The trick with defense spending, therefore, is to reduce it to a reasonable level, without sacrificing the conventional deterrent effect of the United States' armed forces. Completely wiping out our top-of-the-line fighters isn't the way to do that. With the F-22 in the sky, Russia and/or China would have to enter into a conflict with the United States
knowing that they are technologically incapable of gaining air superiority. When the F-35 comes online, they would have to engage in conflict knowing that their ground assets will be vulnerable to attacks against which they would be unable to retaliate.
My suggestion would be to have a small cadre of these aircraft in reserve, ready to deploy as soon as a conflict erupts, while keeping on standby the ability to produce more, quickly, as necessary. Is 187 F-22's a small cadre? No, 187 is too much for a peacetime force or even a force engaged in the conflicts in which we're currently engaged. We overdid it,
but they're already paid for. We spent the $300 million-a-piece to build those 187, so we either pay to maintain and use them, or we pay even more to mothball and decommission them. It's pricey to keep technology out of the hands of others.
It's worth looking at what it takes to decommission an F-14, at this juncture. Iran has a stable of F-14's, all rendered inoperable by the removal of or lack of maintanence to key components that Iran lacks the technology to replicate or replace. In light of this, when an F-14 is in need of decommissioning, it needs to be kept secure from its last flight until the time it's scrapped. Every electronic component needs to be accounted for, prior to scrapping. Those components then need to be catalogued and their destruction confirmed or securely stored as spares for the remaining F-14's still in service.
All that, because we don't want
one country that we don't particularly like getting their hands on F-14 parts. With the F-22 and F-35, it's another story entirely, because we don't want
any countries getting their hands on the technology used in those planes. There's an export ban on these aircraft, so that our
allies cannot yet buy them, nevermind our enemies. Up and scrapping them is not as cheap a proposition as you may believe.
Incidentally, how the hell did I wind up on the right wing of this discussion? I don't think I've ever found myself saying that someone wants to cut defense spending too much....