[Carl]

we can calculate it! computers reached 1 gigahert in 2000 A.D. and they double in power every 18 months, so how powerful will they be in 2365 A.D. ? can anyone figure it out?

[This message has been edited by Carl (edited 08-07-2001).]

[Shrike]

They would have either hit the physical size limits of current computers, or else be using something totally different. (like quantum computers, etc)

Basically, they'd be really powerful.  How powerful?  Insuficient data.

[QXMX]

Well, if there were no physical limits, a computer the size of a calculator would probably run an Orion  

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[Carl]

well, given the data i have just provided then.

[NeoHunter]

Let's see..

18 months = One and a half years.

Number of years between here and GTVA time = 2365 - 2000 = 365 years

365 years / 1.5 = 243

Therefore, speed of GTVA computers would be something like this:

243 * 2 = 486 gigabytes.

Which maybe faster than a human brain I think.

Man, I hate Mathematics.

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[Carl]

figured it out. it is approximately 1.5X 10^73rd power, or
15,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 gigahertz            

[This message has been edited by Carl (edited 08-07-2001).]

[NeoHunter]

Huh?! Are you sure?!

Oh well, Mathematics was never my strong point.

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[Shrike]

1) It's measures in Hertz, not bytes.
2) You cannot simply extrapolate forward, as eventually, sooner rather than later, you will be running into materiel and physical limits on computing power.

[NeoHunter]

 

Originally posted by Shrike:
2) You cannot simply extrapolate forward, as eventually, sooner rather than later, you will be running into materiel and physical limits on computing power.

Uh.I wouldn't be so quick to say that. 365 years is a lot of time for technology to advance.

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[Shrike]

 

Originally posted by NeoHunter:
Uh.I wouldn't be so quick to say that. 365 years is a lot of time for technology to advance.

Exactly.  365 years is too long to extrapolate modern technology.  If computer power advanced at the current rate, every ship in the GTVA would be automated drones capable of split-second reaction time.  But they're not, so obviously computers haven't gotten that powerful.

[QXMX]

It doubles every 18 months, so it'd be 1 GHz * 2^243  

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[Eishtmo]

 

Originally posted by Shrike:
as eventually, sooner rather than later, you will be running into materiel and physical limits on computing power.

Actually, they're already hitting those limits now.  They count the spaces between transistors in atoms right now, and you can't get much smaller than that without a buttload of quantum mechanics on your side.

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[Shrike]

Pretty much what I meant, although it's nice to see someone who knows what I mean.  At the moment they're still pushing them smaller, but sometime soon they'll have to find a different way of doing it.

[NeoHunter]

 

Originally posted by QXMX:
It doubles every 18 months, so it'd be 1 GHz * 2^243    

Like I said in my eariler reply:

Let's see..
18 months = One and a half years.

Number of years between here and GTVA time = 2365 - 2000 = 365 years

365 years / 1.5 = 243

Therefore, speed of GTVA computers would be something like this:

243 * 2 = 486 GHz.

But somehow, Carl had a different answer. Wonder why.....*scratches head*

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[This message has been edited by NeoHunter (edited 08-08-2001).]

[Shrike]

 

Originally posted by NeoHunter:
243 * 2 = 486 GHz.

So they're back to using 486s, eh?  Figures.  

[NeoHunter]

I want to wring your neck, Shrike.  

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[Nico]

I hope in 365 years windows 2365 wont crash anymore (in fact I hope MS won't exist anymore   )

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[aldo_14]

 

Originally posted by Shrike:
1) It's measures in Hertz, not bytes.
2) You cannot simply extrapolate forward, as eventually, sooner rather than later, you will be running into materiel and physical limits on computing power.

*cough* http://www.cs.strath.ac.uk/~paddy/CompSys/future.htm#top

[joek]

I'll tell you how powerful their computers are... they're powerful enough to translate the very complex Vasudan language on the fly... and they're powerful enough to fire all your ship's thrusters so that you feel like you're flying an airplane rather than a spacecraft.

  Joe.

[Carl]

 

Originally posted by Shrike:
it's nice to see someone who knows what I mean.

i knew what you meant. but you obviously didn't know what i meant. so let me say it once again: AT THE CURRENT RATE!!!!