In Aristeia, even after I call in the Durgas to take out the Medea, if I don't disable her beam cannons, she'll typically destroy one of the frigates before the 3 bombers can do their thing.
Umm.. I play on Hard and EVERY time I've played, I've only deployed the Heavy bombers and some Ulhans to take care of the Medea... While I just waited by the Indus to watch the fireworks . They ALWAYS destroy the Medea in MAX 15 secs! Without losing any frigates (Mind you they are always below 15% health)
And even if the UEF have great bombers (the new Lapith is insane), how many do they have? And how to deploy them when their capships get gutted left and right? Deploying a bomber strike isn't as simple as giving them a target and sending them on their way.
The bombers could inflict heavy damage if they adopted the "run and gun" style of the GTVA. However that seems unlikely due to the logistical condition of the UEF.
We saw how "give them a target and send them on their way" ended up in Collateral Damage. Those 2 Durgas and 8 Uriels just got decimated by Serkr's point defenses. No matter how good Durgas are, they're helpless without an escort. If deploying them was so easy, why didn't TF Wargods have any Durgas attached? How many does the UEF even have? They're good, but like the Solarises, they're nowhere near invincible.
About Aristeia, I'm speaking of my own experiences on Hard. You're luckier than I am, because every time I leave her beam cannons alone, I end up losing the Indus.
Exactly my point, even though a victory for the GTVA would be imminent, but its sure as hell not absolute... I mean in the game so far, the UEF have only lost a couple of cruisers and 4 frigates 3 frigates (the Indus survives), where as the GTVA have lost quite a lot of Corvettes and Cruisers (If you destroy them before the Warpout, like me), not to mention the amount of fighter and bombers (easily 6 or 7 squadrons during Delenda Est).
It's already been said, but I'll say it again. The UEF lost a whole lot more than just TF Wargods. Most of 3rd JRF is gone. If we just remove the named ships it's lost from the order of battle posted in one of the stickied threads, they've got 3 Karunas (Minh, Ardent, Serenity), 3 Narayanas (Vikrant, Toreador, Rajput), an indeterminate amount of cruisers, and the Toutatis left. At most. They might have lost more. 1st and 2nd are in much better shape, but evidently not good enough to prevent the Blitz from doing the damage it did.
Speaking of the Blitz, they've also lost the Saab Shipyards, and enough orbital facilities that they're now only a few months away from complete logistical collapse, which means the end of the war. To put this in perspective, it's so much that just Rheza station means the difference between surrender and fighting on. Like I said, if Byrne's project can't turn things around, GTVA victory is absolutely certain.
I'm not saying the GTVA didn't take some pretty big losses, but they're much more capable of replacing them, so they're just not as important.
I'm really not sure how we're supposed to factor in "optional" losses. I never take out the engines of the Carthage's escorts, I voluntarily lose My Brother, My Enemy (I love the BP team for giving us the option to do that), I save the Vatican, but not Torpedo Two.