Author Topic: More Falkland Island  (Read 7090 times)

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Offline headdie

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I just ran into a News article on Yahoo which while mainly about public political gesturing and the UK tabloids making a complete arse of themselves again.  One item in the article that was interesting is that their seems to be a referendum on the subject of ownership coming up in March.
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/falklands-row-sun-warns-kirchner-061106943.html

for those interested in the previous nearly year old thread on here about the subject of the islands
http://www.hard-light.net/forums/index.php?topic=79963.0
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Offline Flipside

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The problem, from the Argentinian perspective is whether a foregone referendum is any kind of referendum at all, but then, the question has to be asked 'why is the referendum foregone?'.

Argentina seem to have chosen the route of 'punishing' the Islands for not being Argentinian with things like embargos on Cruise vessels, rather than consolidating their links and trying to convince the islands of the advantages of being such, sadly the islanders themselves have largely been an unheard, and unheeded voice in Argentina as they are seen as merely an 'extension of the UK' opinion, rather than considering that corroboration is not always causation.

 
In before someone confuses "invitation to negotiate over the Malvinas" with "WE ARE MEAN AND BAD AND WANT THEM BY FORCE AND WE'LL ATTACK YOU WHILE YOU'RE SLEEPING!!!!!!!!111111oneoneone"

In before someone confuses "invitation to negotiate" with "the only acceptable outcome is for Argentina to get them back and exile the current population by force or drown them in their own bodily fluids"

In before someone says this is smokes and mirrors, ignoring how Argentina has skyrocketed socially and economically in the last twelve years, and how the current democratic government has the backing of a wide majority of the population.

In before the less reasonable among the UKers start measuring their military dicks. (They're huge, gigantic, enormous penises, alright? And they are bigger than ours, alright? Feel better now? Can we have that settled already?)

In before some idiotic Argentine who can't get over the past starts talking about old grievances with Chile and about the need to rearm for offensive purposes instead of defensive ones, while ignoring all the other aspects of a proper and modern defense system that also need to be addressed. (Do us all a favor and don't even open your mouth, please.)

In before some UKers ignore that modern Argentina is a peaceful and democratic international player, driven by negotiation, diplomacy and non-interventionism unless it's agreed upon by the relevant international bodies. It's far easier to judge us by the standards of some past military dictatorship that was backed by foreign powers.

In before some Argentineans that wish Argentina wasn't democratic, nor peaceful, nor diplomatic, and much less non-interventionist, say something stupid. (Do it anyway. No one is listening to you.)

In before the press on both sides inflate this to unbelievable proportions to advance their own agendas with their respective governments.

In before the simulated war scenarios, the disrespect for the 900 people who died, and the mandatory call to nuke them Argies once and for all.

In before someone disregards UNASUR and its commitment to mutual protection and mutual help as lip service, so he can feel safer (if UKer) or smarter that the current trends in regional policies in South America (if Argentine).

In before someone emits an arrogant judgement about Argentina without being in the least familiarized with its past and present, its cultural background, and its projected future.

In before someone in either band says something actually insightful, just to have it lost in the ****storm.

In before we all waste our time discussing this over the internet as if that hadn't been done before.


Alright. I'm drunk, sweat and REALLY tired and this headache just won't go away. I'd better go to sleep now.

 

Offline headdie

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Offline Sarafan

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In before someone says this is smokes and mirrors, ignoring how Argentina has skyrocketed socially and economically in the last twelve years, and how the current democratic government has the backing of a wide majority of the population.

Isnt Argentina currently in deep economical trouble?

 

Offline Flipside

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Well, it's not as if the UK isn't, and it makes sure we all stay nice and patriotic and expend our energies pointing at someone else ;)

 

Offline karajorma

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In the end it basically comes down to this for me, the islanders have no interest in being Argentinian.

Why is there anything more that needs to be said?
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Offline NGTM-1R

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Why is there anything more that needs to be said?

Because Argentina's ego is hurt.
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Offline An4ximandros

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 Can we please stop insulting and actually search for arguments from reliable sources using the powerful tool that is the Internet? Thanks.

 It would seem Argentina is falling to pieces and becoming a fascist country, the government is gaining much power and the social state is deplorable, it seems to me the cause to reclaim the "Malvinas/Falklands" is exactly what it was the first time, a cry to rally a broken nation.

 What outrages me is that the President of Uruguay, Mujica, seems to be supporting this move simply because he's in love with Kirchner (I will not use her family name, it outrages me to share it.)

 What is even more shameful is that UNASUR is even supporting this. Whatever happened to democracy? What about the islanders? It's their island, and it's them who'll get screwed over, not the UK, not Argentina, not UNASUR, not Europe.

Found some Links: http://www.businessinsider.com/why-argentina-is-such-an-economic-mess-2012-11
http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Latest-News-Wires/2012/0826/As-Argentina-s-economy-slows-President-Cristina-Fernandez-s-popularity-dips
http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/06/16/2851968/argentinas-economic-fiesta-is.html
« Last Edit: January 04, 2013, 10:45:55 pm by An4ximandros »

 

Offline Rodo

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Argentina is not falling to pieces man, sure things are not GREAT but I cannot recall a moment when everything was going as good as now.

The actual government seems to be focusing on social equality for the most part, which I must admit is actually improving for once, not that much but it is and despite my personal (and negative) opinions on our president, things are not getting worst for me or any of the ppl I know so.... falling apart?, not so much.

The issue might rest on the eyes with which you look at the country right now, if you are an investor, business man or an economic savant then it's possible to think that, but only because more pressure is being applied on those areas where economy seemed to be a little lax, put simply: before you could make a coin here and there, now you cannot because more eyes are watching.

That thing about Mujica and Cristina, where the did you get that from?... Our relationship with Uruguay is not that amicable, you know?, Mujica abiding to Cristina's desires might rest on the convenience for Uruguay to keep Argentina as a close friend.

About UNASUR? well... it's expected from an organization to speak up for it's members interests right?, besides what makes you think the UNASUR backing Argentina's pledge on the Falklands is not democratic?.

On the subject of the Falklands themselves, I think ppl living there should have the right to vote whatever they want to do, but that won't change a thing. I suspect this quarrel is more about oil exploitation (which our country direly needs) than any historical/political/pride stuff.
el hombre vicio...

 

Offline Flipside

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I think part of the problem is that the way Argentina seem to be dealing with it on the political stage appears to be by making themselves the 'victims of the horrible British Empire'. You'd think from some statements that had been made that Queen Victoria was still alive and we were busily raiding Spanish bullion ships in the Caribbean.

To be honest, a well-played political hand 25 years ago and closer connections would have made the Falklands more Argentinian the only way it could legitimately become so, by inter-marrying between the islands and the continent, instead they are still looked upon as invaders themselves, something they are rather sensitive about considering recent history.

Thing is, take the difference in relations in Europe in the 30 years between 1945 and 1975, such vast levels of change in a single generation are possible, but every time I hear the words 'Colonial' or 'Imperialistic' or 'Rightful Owners', I remember the history of South America and divide by zero.

 
After getting some rest, my headache has gone away and my drunkenness has subsided a bit. So here I go again. I warn you in advance, a wall of text lies ahead. Maybe I will be double-posting.

First things first:

NGTM-1R: It is your own ego that's been hurt, as far as I can see. In two different threads in the near past (the one about direct voting and the one about drug smuggling in Argentina), you've demonstrated you're unable to back your loud mouth with facts, theories, reasoning, or anything like that. Your most successful strategy so far has been pointing out that my grip on the English language is far from perfect. Which also leads me to think you're not the most sagacious observer around here either, as that's something to be expected from someone who warns about it in his own signature (by the way, what the hell happened to my signature?).
I think you may have a personal problem with me because you can't argue with me, and so you resort to this kind of posts wherever I go, as a way to annoy me. This means elaborating a reply to your posts is a waste of my time, as you won't answer to it anyway. As a result, I will disregard you from now on on any thread where I consider you're not worth the effort. I'll begin with the current one.

Karajorma: Ah! Karajorma. It's an honor to see you again. I regard you as an intelligent person and as a testament of reasonability.
The problem is, Argentina considers the current population was implanted after forcefully replacing the Argentinean settlement there.
Argentina happens to have a sizeable Chinese immigration. Say, if China attacked Tierra del Fuego and replaced its Argentinean population with a Chinese one, do you really expect Argentina to abide to the self-determination of this new Chinese population?

Sarafan: Ermmm... No? Not at all? However, two interesting things can be derived from your post.

1) Inversion of the burden of proof: Isn't it interesting that you never actually asked yourself if that is true? Or that no one asked you to do it?
I could point you at the constant economic growth rate, the fulfilment of debt obligations with all the creditors who entered in negotiations about our debt, the constant surplus in export-import exchanges and the consequent growing in federal reserves, as some of the indicators that show an overall healthy economy.
You could point me at inflation, income inequality, low reliance on banks in the internal market, and unreliability of inflation indexes as indicators of problems (to which I would point out that work is already being done in all those areas, that those numbers are actually good considering Argentina's historical numbers, that hyperinflation and the corralito are historical causes that justify the formers, and that the latter is also a problem that is being addressed, since neither the government nor the private firms have been able to publish reliable numbers so far).

But none of that happened. You just said Argentina is in "deep economical trouble" (which is stretching the truth just a little too much), and everyone assumed that as true. No proof required, no numbers asked, no sources posted. It's just assumed as truth. Why is that assumed as truth? Why did you assumed it as truth without even asking yourself about it?

2) Now consider this: Brazil and Argentina share a similar (while not identical) historical background, speak mutually-intelligible languages, and have been allies and economical partners for decades by now. We can know each other far better than people in other countries can.
Now, if you just assume a lie about Argentina (or any other Spanish-speaking country for that matter) as truth without checking first, even when you're far less conditioned about your sources and your worldview than other forumites, can you imagine what people who don't even understand Spanish can do? They are at the mercy of a narrow worldview, and of the limited set of information they have access to. Now tell me: Don't you think this will condition their thinking? Limit their reasoning? Their understanding of what happens in other parts of the world?
I'm not answering those questions. I just would like you (and everyone else who reads this) to think about them.

An4ximandros: Your post is a joke, isn't it? Please, tell me you're just doing a parody of the usual layman of the world to prove a point here before my faith in humanity falls even lower than it already is.

First, no insults have been hurled so far. Which is already an accomplishment for a thread about the Malvinas on the internet. Second, your post is an incoherent, delirant mess mixing such cliches as fascism, supposed infatuation with President Fernandez, the usual scapegoat of Argentina being a broken nation (I LIVE here, it's thriving), all seasoned with the usual impartiality of Andrés Oppenheimer (and to think some people reject the Wikipedia as an unreliable source :rolleyes: ).

Do you have any idea of how many editorials of this tone I've read in the last 10 years? How many supposedly neutral and accurate polls I've had to read? How many calls for all those things Oppenheimer wants to see, before the imminent collapse that Argentina will have NOW? (I mean NOW, for real this time, next weekend, about 3:00 pm, bring your own chair.)
Yet nothing happens.

Time and time again they keep telling us the roof will fall upon us. And yet the numbers keep denying it.

I've lost count about how many devaluations, hyperinflations, defaults, and other such catastrophes they have predicted in the last 10 years. 10 YEARS!

So far, nothing.

I wanted to believe them! I used to oppose this government. I used to live in fear that their predictions may come true. Those that sensationalistically warned us about the imminent dangers to democracy, about the danger of putting our money into banks, about the urgent need to buy dollars or euros (yeah, EUROS), about how the Kirchners will, without a doubt, loose the next election.

10 years of that kind of messages everywhere, all the time. 10 years. Not one of them has become truth.

Now, have you ever wondered, that maybe those journalists, those poll agencies, those massive medias managed from massive economic groups, may have an interest in us thinking those things are going to happen? You know, MAYBE? Just MAYBE a journalist, a poll agency, or a media group like CNN (to which Oppenheimer is an employee) isn't born neutral, pure, immaculate, blessed with the absolute truth and impartiality? Maybe, just like we don't trust our own governments all the time, we shouldn't trust everything we read in the internet or watch on television all the time?
Just MAYBE. I'm thinking in loud voice here.
« Last Edit: January 05, 2013, 01:03:42 am by el_magnifico »

 

Offline karajorma

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Karajorma: Ah! Karajorma. It's an honor to see you again. I regard you as an intelligent person and as a testament of reasonability.
The problem is, Argentina considers the current population was implanted after forcefully replacing the Argentinean settlement there.
Argentina happens to have a sizeable Chinese immigration. Say, if China attacked Tierra del Fuego and replaced its Argentinean population with a Chinese one, do you really expect Argentina to abide to the self-determination of this new Chinese population?


That is a very poor analogy for what actually happened. Here's a better one. I own a holiday house on an otherwise deserted island. I move away for a couple of years. When I return I find someone living in my house. I tell them they may continue to live in my house as long as they acknowledge that it is my house and not theirs.

Now if at some point while I'm living there, they claim that the house is theirs and changes the locks, do I not have the right to force entry? If after having evicted them they start court proceedings saying that we should share the house why should I settle out of court and give them the house?

The Argentinians claim that the islands are theirs but when you look at the history it's actually quite a weak claim. The original Argentinian settlers were on the island for about a year before the British came back having previously colonised the island and pointed out that the Argentinians had settled on an island that didn't belong to them.

Having a settlement on a island for 1 year is not a legitimate claim as far as I'm concerned. Not when you consider the previous claim the British had to the island.

The only other claim the Argentinians can make to the Falklands is that they were settled by the Spanish. But then the issue becomes why? Why should a Spanish claim to an island instantly revert to another nation after they gain their independence? Why would the Falklands also not be allowed the same independence?

To be honest, a well-played political hand 25 years ago and closer connections would have made the Falklands more Argentinian the only way it could legitimately become so, by inter-marrying between the islands and the continent, instead they are still looked upon as invaders themselves, something they are rather sensitive about considering recent history.

Oh this is definitely the case. Before the war the British government were actually annoyed that you couldn't convince the Falkland Islanders that they should be under Argentinian control. I seem to remember they even complained about the governor having "gone native" because he couldn't convince them.


But while the opinion of the natives remains that they'd rather be British, I see no reason whatsoever to said with the Argentinians. In fact, I can't see how Argentina's claims to the islands is not a case of colonialism. 
« Last Edit: January 05, 2013, 01:59:50 am by karajorma »
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I pretty much have the same view point as karajorma, and I feel it as typical amongst my friends and family. We understand the background, we know the history, and the political context in which it has been repeatedly mentioned.
The absolute bottom line is; so long as the islanders are being respected I don't really give a crap about the situation.

If they wanted to be Argentinian, I equally wouldn't give a crap. Let them live in peace.

The only ironic thing I see in the situation is that Argentina call it colonialism when they're the ones attempting to get their way without regard for the residents, which is the real negative connotation of colonialism.
People who have had family there since 1833, being replaced because some people think they own the island.
What do Argentina want to negotiate? Buying the land? Do you really think they will? or, can even afford to? Do you think they even realise it would be the case that they need to buy the land from the Falklanders, not the UK? -.-
"Neutrality means that you don't really care, cuz the struggle goes on even when you're not there: Blind and unaware."

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and after everything we've seen here maybe even more.
I know we're not the only ones, and we were not the first,
and unapologetically we'll stand behind each word."

  

Offline Ravenholme

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I have family on the Islands, I'm friend with Islanders, people who have lived there for nine generations. The only people to have lived there for that long. Not one of them is of Argentine descent. British, Chilean, Urugauyan, but not one of them is Argentine, and not one of them wants to be.

Also, with regards to Argentina - As I understand, you guys are in danger of being kicked out of the IMF, which is hardly the sign of "Not bad" economic circumstances.

This also very recently cropped in my facebook feed, and it's fairly amusing.

Quote
Dear Argentina...

NOW look. You've been whining about this since 1767 and it's starting to get on my wick.

I've ignored you until now, because you're very silly and your greatest cheerleader is Sean Penn, a man who pretends to be things he is not and once hit his then-wife Madonna with a baseball bat, tied her up for nine hours and abused her.

If he is on your side, it's not a good side to be on.

But today you've written to Prime Minister Dishface demanding he enter negotiations to 'return' the islands we call the Falklands and you call Malvinas, 180 years after we cruelly stole them from you with our jackbooted naval officers of totalitarianism­.

You were 'forcibly stripped' of these jewels in the South Atlantic and your people were 'expelled'.

Only, that's not quite what happened, is it Argentina? Someone obviously needs to remind you, and probably Mr Penn too, of the facts.

Allow me to start by saying there are probably things we can all agree on. War is bad, for example, and colonialism - aside from the roads, aqueducts, education, health reforms, economic development, culture, food, integration and innovation - tends to be a bad thing too.

We could probably avoid an argument over the fact that the Falkland Islands, in and of themselves, aren't exactly pretty. There are no hanging gardens, no waterfalls, no exotic wildlife. They're a windy bunch of rocks a long way from anywhere, although I grant they're nearer to you than they are to us.

Which begs the question about why, exactly, you never bothered to settle them.

When they were first discovered by a Dutchman in 1600 there was nothing there but seabirds. No people, no cultural heritage for anyone to trample over. Just a windy bunch of rocks.

Ninety years later a British sailor was blown off course and sailed through a bit of water he named Falkland Sound, and 74 years after that the French turned up to form a colony.

WAIT! I hear you cry. The French colonised the Falklands?

Why yes, and 18th century email being what it was the British turned up two years later and built a settlement on another one of the islands and claimed the whole lot for the Crown, unaware the Frenchies were already in residence.

The French sold out to the Spaniards a year after that, who put the colony - containing French people - under control of a governor in Buenos Aires.

Three years later the Spanish picked a fight with the Brits, kicked them out and after a peace treaty let us back in. In 1774 the Brits, overstretched by the Americans kicking off, withdrew and left a plaque behind asserting their claim. Thirty two years later the Spaniards departed too, leaving another plaque, and in 1811 the last settlers threw in the towel.

We were back to empty, windy rocks known only to whalers and sealing ships, and two memorial plaques.

In 1820 an American pirate called David Jewett took shelter there, and finding the place deserted promptly claimed the islands for a union of South American provinces which later became Argentina.

You lot didn't realise this for a year, but still didn't settle the islands. Instead a German who pretended to be French called Luis Vernet came along, asked the Argentines and the Brits politely if they minded, and founded a little colony of his own.

It took him a few goes, but eventually he established a settlement, you named him governor and gave him the right to kill all the seals. This quite hacked off the Brits, who wanted some seals for themselves, but Vernet placated us by asking for our military protection.

It all got a bit hairy in 1831, when Vernet found some American seal ships, arrested their crews and sparked an international incident. The Americans sent a warship, blew up the settlement, and hot-headedly sent the most senior settlers to the mainland for trial for piracy.

The Argentines sent a new governor to establish a penal settlement, but he was killed in a mutiny the day he arrived. The Brits, quite reasonably, decided the whole thing was a dog's breakfast.

And now we get to the bit you're unhappy about Argentina, the invasion and forced expulsion.

The Brits arrived two months after this mutiny, and wrote to the chap in charge of the small Argentine garrison. The letter said:
"I have to direct you that I have received directions from His Excellency and Commander-in-Ch­ief of His Britannic Majesty's ships and vessels of war, South America station, in the name of His Britannic Majesty, to exercise the rights of sovereignty over these Islands.

It is my intention to hoist to-morrow the national flag of Great Britain on shore when I request you will be pleased to haul down your flag on shore and withdraw your force, taking all stores belonging to your Government."

Now, there are many ways people can be oppressed, forced, compelled and abused - just ask Sean Penn - but a polite note is not one of them. The Argentine in charge thought briefly about resisting, but he didn't have many soldiers and besides, most of them were British mercenaries who refused to fight. So on January 3, 1833 you left, Argentina, with wounded pride and your nose in the air.

You had never settled the islands. Never established a colony of your own. Never guarded it with a garrison of your own soldiers. They had never, ever, been yours.

And now to the matter of that expulsion. The log of an Argentine ship present at the time records the settlers were encouraged to stay, and those that left did so of their own free will and generally because they were fed up with living on some boring, windy rocks.

Eleven people left - four Argentines, three 'foreigners', one prisoner, a Brit and two Americans.

Twenty-two people remained - 12 Argentinians, four Uruguay Indians, two Brits, two Germans, a Frenchman and a Jamaican.

As the imposition of colonial power on an indigenous population goes, that takes some beating. And for the sake of clarity I should point out that a human melting pot like that makes the place about as British as you can be.

A few months later HMS Beagle, taking Charles Darwin to the Galapagos for a long think, popped in and found the settlement half-ruined and the residents lawless. There were several murders, some looting, and in 1834 the exasperated British sent Lieutenant Henry Smith to run the place.

The islands have been ours ever since, and is now home to almost 3,000 people descended from settlers who came from Britain, France, Scandinavia, Gibraltar, St Helena and Chile.

At the same time, you went on to fight wars with most of South America and colonise provinces with indigenous populations by killing or pushing them out.

When your government was broke and facing strong opposition in the 1980s, you invaded them to divert attention of the voters with the cost of 907 lives, and it cannot be unrelated to your letter that in a few weeks you face being ejected by the International Monetary Fund for lying over your economic figures.

At around the same time, the people who now live on these boring, windy rocks in the middle of nowhere are having a referendum about who they would like to govern them. You will ignore this, because you believe they do not have a right to make up their own minds and have repeatedly refused to talk to the islanders about your claims.

So allow me to make a couple of things clear. Firstly, the history of these windy rocks is an utter mess but someone had to take charge, and you weren't up to the job. We did it pretty nicely, considering our record in other places.

Secondly, only jackbooted colonial scumbags refuse to listen to the democratic voice of the people who live somewhere, so you really ought to wind your hypocritical warmongering necks in.

And thirdly - well done with the wine, and the beef's pretty good, but if you want to negotiate let's start with you taking back your Total Wipeout, because as cultural imperialism goes it's pretty offensive, and you might want to think about handing Patagonia back to its people as well.

After that we are quite prepared to let you come and holiday on these windy rocks, where you will be invited to pitch a tent anywhere you like within the 13 square kilometres where you left 19,000 landmines last time you visited.

We know they're a long way away. We know there's not much to the rocks, and there might be oil and it might give someone a claim to Antarctica.

But we also know something you don't - which is that a well-run, law-abiding and happy bunch of rocks is the best bunch of rocks you can hope to have. You're no more up to that job now than you have ever been.

In case our position is still not clear, the above could be summed up as: No.

Yours sincerely,

Blighty

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Offline NGTM-1R

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NGTM-1R:

The islands are British. When consulted, they have asked to remain British. There is nothing more to be said on the subject. That Argentina continues to press the issue is, in itself, an imperialistic act in the purest form: ignoring both the desires and the rights of the native population.

There is no strategic gain in absorbing the Falklands, because there is absolutely nothing on the islands worth having. Commercial oil exploration has been marred by Argentinian obstructionism and poor returns; it was not until last year that anyone expressed serious interest in commercial operations and the technical challenges in that area make it generally unattractive. If anyone tries to use them as a base to control the seaways in some fashion you can expect a United States Navy carrier battlegroup to come around while it's politely explained to them that the seas are free for the use of all. There is no grand external enemy Argentina faces which the islands can serve as a bulwark or a tripwire against.

There is more economic and strategic sense in the United States pressing a claim to Tijuana than there is in Argentina pressing a claim to the Falklands. Literally the only reason this is still an issue is the unreasonable, ego-based importance Argentina places on control of the islands.
« Last Edit: January 05, 2013, 09:09:07 am by NGTM-1R »
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Offline Sarafan

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Sarafan:

I did not just said Argentina is in "deep economical trouble" and assumed that it was true, I asked if Argentina is in deep economical trouble. The same goes for your second point because I'm not assuming that a lie about Argentina is true, what I'm doing is asking what is the situation there. Are they in economic trouble?

 

Offline Luis Dias

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Falklands? Really? Again?

Come on Argentina. Get over it.

 
Sarafan; As far as I know, Argentina have not been publishing a lot of the _EXPECTED BY ALL COUNTRIES IN THE IMF_ reports, probably because they've not been performing as people would have hoped, and then putting up some bull**** bottom line numbers in their stead.
The IMF isn't happy about this and therefore is considering booting them.

While you can see that as Argentina doing worse than they make out, it might not be bad enough that they would be anything other than downgraded a shade or so on the economy, which isn't anything unusual at the moment.
If they are ejected from the IMF however, they are screwed.
"Neutrality means that you don't really care, cuz the struggle goes on even when you're not there: Blind and unaware."

"We still believe in all the things that we stood by before,
and after everything we've seen here maybe even more.
I know we're not the only ones, and we were not the first,
and unapologetically we'll stand behind each word."

 

Offline Sarafan

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Sarafan; As far as I know, Argentina have not been publishing a lot of the _EXPECTED BY ALL COUNTRIES IN THE IMF_ reports, probably because they've not been performing as people would have hoped, and then putting up some bull**** bottom line numbers in their stead.
The IMF isn't happy about this and therefore is considering booting them.

While you can see that as Argentina doing worse than they make out, it might not be bad enough that they would be anything other than downgraded a shade or so on the economy, which isn't anything unusual at the moment.
If they are ejected from the IMF however, they are screwed.

Thanks for the info.