QuantumDelta: It is a common myth that Argentina wants to remove the islanders (I cited it in my first post). It fails common logic, too (you know, you need people in the islands to run them, and the logistics would prohibit exiling them all and replacing them with Argentineans even if we wanted to).
That myth has been conveniently maintained because it perpetuates the image of Argentineans as big mean guys who want to retake those defenseless islands and enslave, exile or kill the islanders, or change their way of life in any way. Fact remains, Argentina currently considers the islands as part of the Tierra del Fuego province, and so they would also be considered Argentinean citizens if the islands were to be recovered.
http://dawn.com/2011/06/15/falklander-gets-argentine-birth-cert-in-legal-first/You may argue that some islanders may not want to give up being British to get an Argentine nationality. Again, I'm pretty sure if the UK were to sit down and negotiate, those things could be ironed out too, so there would be no need to give up their nationality or lifestyle at all.
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Ravenholme: I'm not going to answer about the things Sean Penn might have done. I don't care about Sean Penn. He's not relevant to a discussion that dates back to two centuries ago. Citing him is only an attempt to divert this discussion and deslegitimate the Argentinean claim.
The FACTS, as were told to you, may not be the real facts at all (just ONE example: there is enough evidence of discovery by the Spanish prior to 1592). If you can (if you speak Spanish), read the links I'm going to post to you below. If you can't... well, it's just not that simple. That's why it is important that the UK actually sit down with us and talk about it, and failling that, that we solve it via an agreed upon international actor. Status quo or military force do NOT form truth, facts, or rights; just predominance.
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Karajorma, Ravenholme and QuantumDelta:
Unfortunately, all the sources I could cite about the Argentinean side of this issue are, of course, in Spanish. I don't expect you to be able to read them (though you could hire someone to translate them if you wish, I know Karajorma really wants this material about the reasons Argentina claims the Malvinas and the other islands). Here are two links
http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuesti%C3%B3n_de_las_islas_Malvinashttp://www.cerir.com.ar/admin/_cerir/archivos/libros/0000168/REI_03_003_103.%5B1%5D.pdf(one is from Wikipedia and I'm still reading it as I write this*, the other one is from the Centro de Estudios en Relaciones Internacionales de Rosario) detailing the Argentine viewpoint. They are not the only ones out there, just the two I could find in a quick Google search.
Ultimately, neither you, nor me, have the power or the knowledge to solve this. It will be up to our respective governments.
Failing negotiation (because the United Kingdom refuses to acknowledge there may be something to negotiate, defying the United Nations' position), I think the only way to settle this would be to go to an international body, either a court or an arbiter. Since the United Kingdom happens to think their case is so undeniable and their evidence is so solid, and since they happen to think the Argentine case is so laughable, I don't understand why they would disagree. And yet here we are, 180 years later...
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Ravenholme and QuantumDelta:
Ah! Yes. My good old friend the IMF.
1) Well, first of all, where did you guys get the data about Argentina falling off the IMF? Here we go again with the inversion of the burden of proof. It's
you who are supposed to back your own claims, not me who is supposed to prove them wrong when they have no backing. And yet, here I go again disproving it.
Argentina has continued to cooperate with the IMF to develop a better system to elaborate our indexes.
This Press Release from the IMF cites collaboration as recently as December 17, with the material pending review. The IMF has expressed their intention to
continue to cooperate with ArgentinaMR. RICE: On Argentina, I wouldn't want to preempt that board discussion or any board decision so that I don't have anything further on that except to say as the Managing Director has said in the past, we stand ready to continue to cooperate with the authorities with regard to the issue of the official CPI and GDP data. We stand ready to continue to cooperate.
Yes, there is an issue that needs to be solved. Yes, the IMF disagrees with Argentina on this. No, there is no imminent danger for Argentina of being booted out.
Moreover, as I pointed out earlier, neither the government nor the private firms have been able to publish reliable numbers in Argentina so far. Those who keep complaining about private firms estimating inflation as high as 25% in 2012 and being fined (the private firms) because of it, conveniently ignore that Argentinean law requires them to post their methods for review, so we can all see how they arrived to such astronomical numbers, and so we can all make sure they are following proper statistical methods. They have so far failed to do so. Suspicious, isn't it? Meanwhile, the government has agreed in working together with the IMF and publishing their methodology, but they certainly have a case about it and they are (of course) going to argue in favor of it.
Also, and for the sake of future reference: Some of those rumors that say things about Argentina falling off the IMF and the G-20 are spread by holdouts (mostly vulture funds) who refused to enter in Argentina's debt-swap programmes. The ones who did enter made LOTS of money out of it, but the holdouts want EVEN MORE money, and have resorted to all kinds of questionable and openly illegal tactics, like the recent case of the Frigate ARA Libertad (a trial resolved in favor of Argentina by the UN International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea) proves.
Do keep that in mind the next time you hear someone saying Argentina will fall from this or that without any serious source to back their claims. Throwing a tantrum and spreading rumors doesn't change the fact, that they made the wrong decision and lost lots of cash.
2) Ravenholme, your post also assumes the IMF is a neutral and accurate authority figure. It assumes, if the IMF complains, things should be going bad and there is no other explanation. And ONCE AGAIN that ignores a whole historical background.
It's not like the IMF is as pure and innocent as a 15-years-old girl, you know? (Or accurate in their policies and predictions, while I'm at it.) Many of their measures and policies are nothing short of criminal.
When it comes to international economic organizations (something the globalized world desperately needs) so far we're stuck with what we have. But don't fall in the temptation of pretending they've never made a mistake or that they may not have a political position (And... surprise! South America rejects that political position and Argentina has been very vocal about it). If you ask me, the IMF seriously needs a reform.
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Luis Dias and MP-Ryan:
How about, no?
We have a case. We think it's fair that our case be heard. It's not that hard to understand. And the militaristic adventures of a junta supported (and armed) by foreign powers doesn't change more than 200 years of history.
Want us to shut up? Good! Because so do we. But first let's sit down and talk like civilized nations do. That is actually all we're asking for right now. TALK. To finally SOLVE the problem. Are we really asking for that much? Is it that hard to sit down and listen to what we may have to say?
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Sarafan: The problem is that you asked the question departing from an assumed truth. The default situation was Argentina being in deep economical trouble, and having to prove the contrary. If the question would have been "How is Argentina's economy performing at this moment?" THEN it would have been a neutral question.
You may think the difference is minimal, but in our western world everyone has a right to be innocent until proved guilty, and Argentina is no exception.
I know, it wasn't your intention to be mean or to point fingers. I just want you to realize how you've been conditioned to think Argentina MUST be performing bad. It's not conscious. It's not that you harbour resentments or bad intentions. It's not that you're dumb or easily fooled. You just happen to have that ingrained in you as part of your worldview. And its not only you, it's everyone. Even ourselves. Even me. It's unavoidable to have a certain worldview and partiality. But it helps to be aware of it and of how it reflects in your daily language, judgements, and behaviour. I still have a lot to learn in that, by the way.
(As I'm writing, new posts appear)Wait! WHAT info? There was no info in QuantumDelta's post. Just "I heard they are being very bad boys, you know". I, by the way, DID provide info in this post and the previous one about Argentina's economy and its relationship with the IMF.
*: I want to make it clear, I never post a source without reading it first (at least the relevant parts). But that article is so HUGE, I won't be able to finish reading it today. It actually exposes the arguments of BOTH sides.