It is astonishing how you manage to misinterpret a direct warning to you, Apollo.
EDIT: Just to be clear here: "ad hominem" means " personal attack". There is no other relevant definition of the term that is applicable here, or anywhere for that matter. An "ad hominem that does not use a personal attack" is per definition a nonsensical statement.
Now come on The E, was it really necessary for you to engage in an ad hominem like that against Apollo?
[font size=5]Do I need to place trololol or sarcasm quotes in that last sentence?[/font]
I think this conversation derailed somewhat, and I wanted to get back on track by responding to mr Vega.
One: I hate to go all Marxist, but um, if you're going to fully automate manufacturing and stuff, you still need to find some way to pay your consumers, otherwise there's no one to buy all these wonderful goods.
This is the very basis of the problem. Of course! Notice however how current Austrians do not believe this: they believe that markets and economies work from the top to the bottom, the economy is supply-based, rather than demand-based. New or Post Keynesians think this is ludicrous, and we do have (unfortunately) enough evidence by now on who's right about this question, at the cost of millions of people suffering otherwise unnecessary unemployment and poverty.
The luddites said in the 1800s that machines would throw everyone out of work...didn't happen. Productivity increased and they found something else for the workers to do. That America is experiencing such a massive structural job shortage (beyond the effects of the recession) is simply because the industry was shipped overseas (which the robotics boom will hopefully bring back). I'm not saying that what you're predicting can't happen or won't eventually happen, but each time someone predicts it I'm reminded of how many times it's been wrong.
This is the most important and most interesting caveat to all of the above conversation. I also had acknowledged it in my third point (this all happened before and we are all okay now). But as I also said, those revolutions did not end employment, but they did change the nature of nations and states: the
creation of the welfare state. So we can also ponder what is to come when the next revolution starts to kick ass in our economies. What kind of fundamental shift has to happen so we can still say the economy is for the better for the people and not just feudalism under a new guise.
Two; Here's my counter: does capital need to be so highly concentrated now? Ignoring the fact that the current level of wealth inequality is totally unprecedented and can probably only occur in an economy totally dominated by the rentier class, I need to ask whether why you need capital concentrated in a society with such high productivity and per-capita income. You could argue it was necessary a century ago for wealth to be concentrated in such few hands so heavy industry could be built up in the first place and there just wasn't enough on hand at the time if you scattered it, but now? Is this really the most efficient arrangement?
The question is not if it is "necessary", but rather if it is moral, if it is growing and if the trend is unstoppable. According to most capitalists, it isn't a very big moral issue, and I really do not see many things that can stop the trend. Even with a preposterous rise in wealth taxes, what drives this trend is Globalisation, concentration of means of production to the big fishes of the world, the frictionless nature of the internet and finance, AIs, etc. So even if you were right in saying it's not the most efficient status, it's possibly the most inevitable.
Three: Milton Friedman, hoo boy...where to start? I want you to find and read Debunking Economics by Steve Keen. Amongst many other things, it chronicles how Friedman and Lucas repopularized Neo-Classical beliefs about money and markets in the 1970s after Keynes had pointed out that they didn't hold up once you include the issue of an uncertain future in the model. They got around this issue by assuming that people could predict the future -literally, that was their assumption- and called this theory "Rational Expectations". Reading Keen explain each step of their reasoning is laugh-out-loud funny - it's like reading the economic equivalent of the witch burning scene in Monty Python in the Holy Grail. I hate to break it to you, but only the craziest Austrians like von Mises and Rothbard top him in the use of woo.
Ok, now stop there immediately. You'd do better than reading one book and declaring one of the most well regarded economist of the 20th century as a "joke" or something. Perhaps you'd do better to read
more books than contrarian ones. Milton's work was astounding, and his monetarist views, while not entirely correct, they were
mostly correct, regarding the role of the currency in the Great Depression and how the Fed could have stopped it short if it understood currency better. You should also be aware that this criticism of Milton is what was behind the quick reaction of Bernanke and co. in 2008's crash and
prevented a second Great Depression despite the fact that the crash was worse. I disagree with Friedman on lots of things, but if you read a book calling his theories "quackery" then you are just being misinformed.
One more thing. While it sounds silly to say people "predict the future", that's exactly what people do everyday, and especially economic agents. This is what is the crux of the economic theories of people like Hayek and so on and you should know better. The idea is this. We all make predictions and we mostly fail about them, because predicting the future is incredibly difficult. However, when the only economic agent allowed to predict the future and plan the economy accordingly is the state, it is bound to failure, precisely because predicting what does not yet exist is pretty much almost impossible. However, if you decentralize this predicting business to free individual economic agents, they will all make somewhat different predictions, and some of them will be right, some will not. The system then rewards those who were right, giving them more capital so they can invest more than those who failed. Basic free markets' ideology. So please try not to read too much into other people's caricatures of what Friedman said.