'Course I am. And I'm almost always right, too.
Fact, it's usually when I'm not cynical that I'm wrong. Anyway, there's one ****load more risk in losing the war than gain in winning it- and I'm talking about the extended war, too. Any half-decent Iraqi commander would have seen that the initial conflict wasn't a winnable one and would have reorganized for an extended guerrilla warfare, to basically blow up the US's victory in its face. And what with the anarchy, the lack of real combat, and the sudden unexplained dissapearance of an awful lot of Special Republican Guard units, I'd say that the writing's on the wall, and it's not a happy message. You'd better believe that Baghdad is child's play to what happens when all those guys start spreadin' the hate.
Though I am going to have so much fun watching as Bush's "reconstruction" is forced to take place in the form of armed US thugs forcing the people to do everything, simply because they won't cooperate except at gunpoint.
But maybe I'm wrong, unlikely as it is. Still, it's infinitely better to suspect the likely worst case than blithely assume that everything is gonna be fine and not wake up to what's going on until more buildings start exploding and the heads of Turkey, Saudia Arabia and whatever poor **** we put as puppet governor of Iraq are dancing a foot above the ground from a streetlight.
As to your second post: Oh yes, stop the hate, spread the love, looting and pillaging shops is now a legitimate form of revolution when armed soldiers from a foreign country are marching down your street. And it's called every major newspaper and radio source. You might have heard of them.
Sure, they realize it's serious this time. I think they figured that out when American planes started bombing the **** out of their cities, Einstein. It's kinda a little late to be "rising up against the regime", though, eh? Seeing as its effectively gone and all. The Baghdadders aren't revolting, they're just rioting- the Kurds (remember them? The guys we told to revolt, left to die, and then tried to sell out to Turkey?) revolted. The Shias (the guys we keep oppressin'? Might ring a bell?) revolted. Hell, those twits in Washington revolted, such as it is (though what kinda revolution ends with you in some cushy pad in DC while your comrades are blown up in trenches is a mystery to me).