Author Topic: Innovation coming to an end?  (Read 3143 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Kosh

  • A year behind what's funny
  • 210
Innovation coming to an end?
No, that's not what I believe, but this is something I found on another forum and I'm interested in some different perspectives:

Quote
Even the net was developed way back in the 1960s. And 95% of it today is used for porn. So I can't say even the net is really a shining example of technological innovation.

You should read these articles, particularly the first. A Pentagon physicist did a very thorough study that shows tech innovation peaked a long time ago. Most of the recent developments either:

A) don't contribute very much to human well-being or

B) are glorified distractions (IPODs and such) or

C) so expensive they may as well not exist as they are beyond the reach of all but maybe 1/10th of 1% of the world's population:

http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn7616
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,1997287,00.html


Personally, I this isn't really accurate, but am I alone in thinking that?
"The reason for this is that the original Fortran got so convoluted and extensive (10's of millions of lines of code) that no-one can actually figure out how it works, there's a massive project going on to decode the original Fortran and write a more modern system, but until then, the UK communication network is actually relying heavily on 35 year old Fortran that nobody understands." - Flipside

Brain I/O error
Replace and press any key

 

Offline blowfish

  • 211
  • Join the cult of KILL MY ROUTER!!!!!!!!!!1
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
B) Glorified distractions, or "entertainment" is a very important part of technology and innovation.

C) Stuff comes down in price over time.

I really just don't think we've stopped innovating.  Granted, there hasn't been as much research into emerging technology as many of us would like, but we are still innovating.

 

Offline Mefustae

  • 210
  • Chevron locked...
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
It's not innovation coming to an end, but merely a society that tends to stunt innovation. I mean, the bureaucracy involved in any major endeavor these days is staggering, the patent system alone is doing some pretty heavy damage to any form of free invention and discovery.

Anyway, the post there is complete bull****. Bloke's completely back-asswards in more ways than one. The articles make for interesting reads, but the poster is a ****ing chimp.

  

Offline S-99

  • MC Hammer
  • 210
  • A one hit wonder, you still want to touch this.
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
innovation has lead to bigwetasses.
It's one of the wierdest addresses i've seen on the net. There's others, most likely sitting in your block banner/ads settings. There's also another innovation of the net. Photoshop/gimping attractive celebrities heads into porn photos.

You should all do yourself a favor and have a great laugh at the last innovation by googling "fart hammer". Talk about odd. There's also googling "blumpkin" and "ballcuzi".

The net will only get worse :yes:
Every pilot's goal is to rise up in the ranks and go beyond their purpose to a place of command on a very big ship. Like the colossus; to baseball bat everyone.

SMBFD

I won't use google for you.

An0n sucks my Jesus ring.

 

Offline castor

  • 29
    • http://www.ffighters.co.uk./home/
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Well, we have about 100 000 years of history and a few billion human lives behind us. Maybe its not so easy to come up with fresh _grand_ ideas anymore?
I think the advancements in future will be less and less by individual people, and more and more due to large scale efforts put forward by big communities (on which we are not too good at this time, even though there are heaps of people around).

I mean, what would you need to "invent" today to have an effect of similar scale than Edison (or whoever it was) had with his light bulb? The unified field theory? Tough, tough...

 

Offline Kosh

  • A year behind what's funny
  • 210
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Quote
I mean, what would you need to "invent" today to have an effect of similar scale than Edison (or whoever it was) had with his light bulb? The unified field theory? Tough, tough...


Indeed, but I but is what happens when your technology level is higher and devices keep getting more and more sophisticated. I liken to comparing the days when one person to write an entire game engine or OS to now, where everything requires teams working together (or on individual sections).
"The reason for this is that the original Fortran got so convoluted and extensive (10's of millions of lines of code) that no-one can actually figure out how it works, there's a massive project going on to decode the original Fortran and write a more modern system, but until then, the UK communication network is actually relying heavily on 35 year old Fortran that nobody understands." - Flipside

Brain I/O error
Replace and press any key

 

Offline Flipside

  • əp!sd!l£
  • 212
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Thing is, there are no 'obvious' things to achieve any more, the basic human needs for light, heat and food are pretty much met in the West, the scientific knowledge of things such as astronomy and physics have advanced to the point where the layman can barely understand them, thus they lose interest.

There is still plenty of innovation going on, but people are looking in the wrong places, innovation always happens where it is needed, these days a lot of innovation is taking place in third world countries with regards to water reclamation, plant cross-breeding etc.

Europe is about to launch an Ion-Jet driven satellite that will actually orbit low enough to experience a minute degree of atmospheric drag, it's job is to create a gravitic map of the planet. That's pretty spectacular but it'll pass un-noticed by most of us unless something unfortunate happens to it, these days it's the only time half the public pay attention.

So, in my opinion, innovation is alive and kicking, not at Microsoft, where people go home to their air-conditioning, ready meals and armchair, but either in areas that the layman cannot understand what the innovation is, or in areas where it's a question of being creative or starving to death.

 

Offline castor

  • 29
    • http://www.ffighters.co.uk./home/
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Indeed, but I but is what happens when your technology level is higher and devices keep getting more and more sophisticated.
Yes, its like trying to approach the speed of light, always getting harder and harder...
But will it too, eventually, become impossible, i.e. is there going to be a certain level of abstraction beyond which no human mind may reach its grasp  :nervous:

 

Offline IceFire

  • GTVI Section 3
  • 212
    • http://www.3dap.com/hlp/hosted/ce
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
HP just announced that their R&D group has perfected the "memrister" (I think I got that right) which is a cross between a transistor and traditional memory.  Has the advantages of DRAM with the advantages of non-volatile memory (like Flash) in one.  Potentially a revolutionary technology for computing unless I've missed something.

Innovation and discovery are happening all of the time...we're actually somewhat acclimatized to all of the advances. But they are usually small advances.  We have some huge advances still to come in the areas of energy generation and only now is the impetus on developing those.  We've had the ideas for a long time but not the ability to achieve them...but those days are closer and closer. Most innovation is incremental...the big discoveries of the 20th century were based on work done in previous centuries.
- IceFire
BlackWater Ops, Cold Element
"Burn the land, boil the sea, you can't take the sky from me..."

 

Offline Retsof

  • 210
  • Sanity is over-rated.
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Now if we can just get AI right.  Can you imagine actually conversing with your wingmen.  (Of course, that leads to various unpleasant emotions when one dies and you forgot to back him/her up.)
:::PROUD VASUDAN RIGHTS SUPPORTER:::

"Get off my forum" -General Battuta
I can't help but hear a shotgun cocking with this.

 

Offline Nuke

  • Ka-Boom!
  • 212
  • Mutants Worship Me
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Thing is, there are no 'obvious' things to achieve any more, the basic human needs for light, heat and food are pretty much met in the West, the scientific knowledge of things such as astronomy and physics have advanced to the point where the layman can barely understand them, thus they lose interest.

There is still plenty of innovation going on, but people are looking in the wrong places, innovation always happens where it is needed, these days a lot of innovation is taking place in third world countries with regards to water reclamation, plant cross-breeding etc.

Europe is about to launch an Ion-Jet driven satellite that will actually orbit low enough to experience a minute degree of atmospheric drag, it's job is to create a gravitic map of the planet. That's pretty spectacular but it'll pass un-noticed by most of us unless something unfortunate happens to it, these days it's the only time half the public pay attention.

So, in my opinion, innovation is alive and kicking, not at Microsoft, where people go home to their air-conditioning, ready meals and armchair, but either in areas that the layman cannot understand what the innovation is, or in areas where it's a question of being creative or starving to death.

i can agree with this. innovation is usually a product of need. we in the west need very little. i may be considered poor by american standards, yet i have money to eat, i have shelter, and i live in ample luxury. theres not much that i need, just a bunch of stuff i want. many people here who come up with an invention are seeking personal wealth, not betterment of the species. people in the 3rd world tend to want the latter and are willing to work for it.
I can no longer sit back and allow communist infiltration, communist indoctrination, communist subversion, and the international communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all of our precious bodily fluids.

Nuke's Scripting SVN

 

Offline achtung

  • Friendly Neighborhood Mirror Guy
  • 210
  • ****in' Ace
    • Freespacemods.net
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
I just know I'm glad to see the space race picking up again.  I hope to see that drive some interesting innovation.
FreeSpaceMods.net | FatHax | ??????
In the wise words of Charles de Gaulle, "China is a big country, inhabited by many Chinese."

Formerly known as Swantz

 

Offline Kosh

  • A year behind what's funny
  • 210
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
I just know I'm glad to see the space race picking up again.  I hope to see that drive some interesting innovation.

We never would have gone to the moon the first time if it wasn't for the Soviets, and after we went there a couple of times nobody cared anymore. The result: our space program stagnated and even went backwards to a degree until now, only after another country says they want to go the moon.


EDIT: And NASA is having enormous trouble getting their Saturn V copycat to work, combining that with public apathy and funding problems I'm not seeing much hope at the moment.

EDIT2:
Quote
many people here who come up with an invention are seeking personal wealth, not betterment of the species.

Yes and that's exactly the problem. The US had an opportunity after the Soviet Union collapsed to turn its attention towards advancing science, innovation, and technology for the better of the species, but by and large we didn't do that. I guess running the world was more important.  :doubt:
« Last Edit: May 03, 2008, 07:18:08 am by Kosh »
"The reason for this is that the original Fortran got so convoluted and extensive (10's of millions of lines of code) that no-one can actually figure out how it works, there's a massive project going on to decode the original Fortran and write a more modern system, but until then, the UK communication network is actually relying heavily on 35 year old Fortran that nobody understands." - Flipside

Brain I/O error
Replace and press any key

 

Offline DeepSpace9er

  • Bakha bombers rule
  • 28
  • Avoid the beam and you wont get hit
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
I think this guy is talking about life changing innovations like the automobile or the airplane, or even running water and electricity. Problem is, our lives are just peachy now so innovations of that magnitude will be much harder and more expensive to achieve, and they are not well known either. I guess instant global communications would be comparable to electricity.

 
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
I just know I'm glad to see the space race picking up again.  I hope to see that drive some interesting innovation.

We never would have gone to the moon the first time if it wasn't for the Soviets, and after we went there a couple of times nobody cared anymore. The result: our space program stagnated and even went backwards to a degree until now, only after another country says they want to go the moon.


EDIT: And NASA is having enormous trouble getting their Saturn V copycat to work, combining that with public apathy and funding problems I'm not seeing much hope at the moment.

EDIT2:
Quote
many people here who come up with an invention are seeking personal wealth, not betterment of the species.

Yes and that's exactly the problem. The US had an opportunity after the Soviet Union collapsed to turn its attention towards advancing science, innovation, and technology for the better of the species, but by and large we didn't do that. I guess running the world was more important.  :doubt:

The question is, did the NASA land on the moon *DUM DUM DUM conspiracytheoryyay!*?
And this ain't no ****. But don't quote me for that one. - Mika

I shall rrreach worrrld domination!

 

Offline Kosh

  • A year behind what's funny
  • 210
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Quote
The question is, did the NASA land on the moon *DUM DUM DUM conspiracytheoryyay!*?


My father was a technician for Boeing who was contracted to help build the Saturn V rockets. I'm pretty sure we went there.
"The reason for this is that the original Fortran got so convoluted and extensive (10's of millions of lines of code) that no-one can actually figure out how it works, there's a massive project going on to decode the original Fortran and write a more modern system, but until then, the UK communication network is actually relying heavily on 35 year old Fortran that nobody understands." - Flipside

Brain I/O error
Replace and press any key

 

Offline Maniax

  • 22
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Just wanted to add that there seems to be a tremendous amount of innovation happening in the medical sciences, and I don't see it slowing down any time soon.

 

Offline Nuke

  • Ka-Boom!
  • 212
  • Mutants Worship Me
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
medical innovation just makes it more expensive for doctors to get anything done. alot of quick fix drugs that don't work. lot of expensive mri scans that patients cant afford, and im not even gonna start with mental health.
I can no longer sit back and allow communist infiltration, communist indoctrination, communist subversion, and the international communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all of our precious bodily fluids.

Nuke's Scripting SVN

 
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Innovation has taken a different direction to the past fifty or so years. Most of the research that's going on today is in the field of biogenics, digital technology and energy, all of which are largely theoretical and have no immediate, visible benefit to joe public. Funnily enough though these are what humanity is begging for right now - better medicine and readily available food, better computers and broadband links, and enough long term fuel and environmental longevity to continue their daily existence.

 

Offline blackhole

  • Still not over the rainbow
  • 29
  • Destiny can suck it
    • Black Sphere Studios
Re: Innovation coming to an end?
Quote
But will it too, eventually, become impossible, i.e. is there going to be a certain level of abstraction beyond which no human mind may reach its grasp

Humans are intelligent enough that we will eventually figure out how to expand the capabilities of our own brains, and therefore break the only limitation that we could possibly encounter.