Author Topic: we're just mocking them now  (Read 12511 times)

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Offline jr2

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Re: we're just mocking them now
What crosses my mind is that I'm (reasonably) sure that we're not gonna use them now at the drop of a hat, and I can't say the same about certain other countries that have them.
Really? If there is a belligerent and warlike country in this world, that is the USA. Historically, there have only been two reasons why the USA government has not used nuclear weapons yet (apart from the aforementioned instances): Mutually assured destruction, or there being a more cost effective way.


BS

Post-WWII, if we had been so inclined, it would have been game over for the rest of the world.

 
Re: we're just mocking them now
Oh boy, it's exponentially growing quote war time.

Much as I hate line-by-line disections, I think you're right.  Case in point:

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Now, if the USA were to use the far more civilized commercial, political and diplomatic ways of interacting with other countries...

Iran has been under US sanctions for ages, to no avail.  Some nations don't respond to commercial and diplomatic pleas, and on the issue of nuclear weapons development, Iran has been one of those nations.  That leaves espionage and/or military action.  It's worth noting that the US has been leaning much more heavily on espionage than military action, in this case, utilizing sabotage, rather than caving to Israeli demands to aid in air strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities.

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Judging a country's rhetoric now without judging their past [blah blah blah]

I am absolutely viewing Iran's actions and rhetoric through the lens of their past activities.  Iran has a history of funding insurrections against Middle Eastern governments they don't like and providing materiel support to Middle Eastern governments that they do like.  They have a history of poking their nose into neighboring countries and disputing territorial boundries, including a military incursion onto Iraqi soil as recently as 2009.  As to not trusting cable news translations of the rhetoric spouted by Iran's leadership, even translations from English-speaking supporters of Ahmadinejad indicate that he has a long-term foreign policy goal of overturning the Israeli government and spreading Islamic theocracies.  Is the phrasing as strong as it's portrayed in US cable news?  Typically no, but the strength of the wording doesn't change the fact that these are the goals of Iran's policy makers.

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Of course, nobody wants a nuclear arsenal just to show it to his friends and brag about it, but it's still wrong to automatically assume they would use it at the slightest provocation (and by that way of thinking, every nuclear capable country should be eliminated NOW).

Find the part of my post where I said that Iran would set off a nuclear weapon.  You won't find it, because I didn't say it.  I said that the presence of an Iranian nuclear arsenal would allow them to more liberally and aggressively use their conventional forces.  That is absolutely not an assumption that they would nuke someone/anyone at the slightest provocation.

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[Line about defining moral preferability]

I jump the question completely...

You questioned the morality of the United States intervening against Iranian nuclear weapons development, but you've made no case for nonintervention being morally preferable.  I'd like to know why you feel that nonintervention is morally preferable to intervention, in this case, and the first step to forming that argument is defining what you feel is morally preferable.  If you're not going to form a coherent argument, then you're just engaging in an internet pissing match, in which I have no interest in taking part.

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In fact, their very interventions have caused a lot more harm that what they have solved, both in Iran and in South America, as evidenced by the fact that this way of reasoning ... is the same that led the USA to partner with Iran to fund the Iranian nuclear program in the first place.

The program, under which the United States funded Iranian nuclear activities was called "Atoms for Peace" and predated the Iranian revolution, that poisoned US-Iran relations, by twenty-six years.  The program was one such that the United States provided technical and logistical support to utilize atomic energy for such terrible activities as generating electricity.  It wasn't until after the Iranian Revolution and the cessation of US support that the Iranian government turned the focus of its nuclear research to weapons.

If you want to bag on the US's backfiring arms deals in the Middle East, then I suggest you start another thread about the arming of the Mujahideen or the selling of chemical weapons to Iraq, during the Iran-Iraq war.  You can make a really strong argument about where the US has done more harm than good and even shot itself in the foot, but none of it is particularly germane to a discussion about the Iranian nuclear program.

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Past precedent and the rhetoric of Iran's leaders indicate that those regional goals include (in no particular order) seizing oil fields along the Iran-Iraq border...

Which by your definition is exactly what the USA wants.

Pardon?  What definition did I offer that would indicate that further instability in Iraq is "exactly what the USA wants"?  The only definition that I offered was of moral preferability for the political situation in the Middle East, and the definition that I offered pretty clearly favors stability and border integrity.  My argument was that a nuclear Iran threatens both, which is why continued sabotage of Iranian nuclear facilities is preferable to total nonintervention.

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As far as I know (and I could be wrong in this), the overwhelming majority of the Iranian people voted to make their country theocratic in a popular referendum...

Referendum?  Not too many referenda leave thousands dead.  The Iranian Revolution was a violent uprising that deposed the monarchy and installed the current theocracy.  For as much as you tell me not to trust my knowledge of Iranian history, past and present, you seem to have no knowledge of Iranian history, as the 1979 revolution was one of the four big events that has defined the Middle East in the modern era (the other three being the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the 1990 Gulf War, and the 2003 invasion of Iraq).

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You really enjoy constantly making predictions.

You can't make any comparison, let alone a moral comparison, of two possible courses of action, without examining the likely consequences of those actions.  So, yes, in order to form a coherent position about whether or not US intervention is appropriate with respect to Iran's nuclear program, I had to predict what would happen both with and without intervention.

And yes, Iran's foreign policy, since 1979 has centered around the line, "We shall export our revolution to the whole world."

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Hardly looks like the USA with its interventionist policies is in a position to worry about the unnecessary losses of war.  Again.

I am not defending every war in which the United States has engaged, nor am I defending an outright war with Iran.  The United States has limited its actions against Iran's nuclear program to sabotage, again, despite pressure from Israel to launch military strikes.  To my knowledge, Flame and Stuxnet cost no lives, which is a far cry better than the alternative of waiting for Iran to finish a nuclear device to see what they do with it or bombing the facility to see if they retaliate against US and NATO forces in the region.

Additionally, your constant arguing that the United States regularly leverages its nuclear arsenal to let its conventional forces go to war actually makes my point stronger.  Iran with a nuclear weapons stockpile will destabilize the Middle East because having a reserve of nuclear weapons is demonstrated to allow a nation's conventional forces to go on the attack.  Preventing the development of an Iranian nuke reduces their ability to wage war in the region.

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[Standards of living statement]

As judged by our Western standards.

Alright, propose another set of standards and demonstrate that the people of the Middle East are better off by those standards, without the United States preventing the development of an Iranian nuclear weapon.

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Since USA intervention in South America (sort of) ended, we've been doing astonishing progress. Before, we were pretty much just like the middle east.

I reject the relevance the parallel between the United States forcing leaders into/out of power in South America and preventing Iran from developing a nuclear weapon.  Don't conflate my advocacy for sabotaging Iran's nuclear production capacity with an advocacy of a policy of regime change.  They're separate issues, and I hold a very different position on one versus the other.  In short, stopping nuclear proliferation good; wantonly overturning governments bad.

 

Offline Alex Heartnet

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Re: we're just mocking them now
I never quite understood why the US insists on making such a big deal about possible nukes in the hands of admittedly scary countries, when there already exists nuclear arsenals in countries like India, Pakistan, Israel, China, France, and the UK.

What people should be more worried about is the possibility of loose nukes within unstable Pakistan, or a miscommunication between the US and Russia resulting in the launch of one of the nuclear weapons that are still in Cold War-style, hair-trigger mode, or some other unlikely-but-still-possible scenario.

The only way to be safe from nuclear weapons is to get rid of them–not just the Iranian one that doesn’t yet exist, but all of them.  Unfortunately, it's not a subject anyone wishes to talk about.  Our politicians and media alike are happy to continue their war rhetoric.  And the notion that Iran can’t be trusted with such a weapon obscures a larger point: given their power to destroy life on a monumental scale, no individual and no government can ultimately be trusted with the bomb.

 

Offline NGTM-1R

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Re: we're just mocking them now
The only way to be safe from nuclear weapons is to get rid of them

And a ban starts at effective control of allowing access. Until we can effectively prevent any given country (Iran, or anyone else) from developing nuclear weapons, disarmament is completely impractical.
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Offline FireSpawn

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Re: we're just mocking them now
My entire knowledge of world politics is provided by These Blokes.
If you hit it and it bleeds, you can kill it. If you hit it and it doesn't bleed...You are obviously not hitting hard enough.

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Offline Scotty

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Re: we're just mocking them now
I love how we're arguing morality in this thread, as if being morally just will somehow keep bad things from happening.

This is the real world.  Grow up.  The moral high ground is a public relations tool, not good policy in and of itself.

 

Offline Alex Heartnet

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Re: we're just mocking them now
The only way to be safe from nuclear weapons is to get rid of them

And a ban starts at effective control of allowing access. Until we can effectively prevent any given country (Iran, or anyone else) from developing nuclear weapons, disarmament is completely impractical.

Disarmament is completely impossible until we actually start talking about nuclear proliferation again.  Just focusing our attention on 'rogue nations' won't solve the problem.

 

Offline Klaustrophobia

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Re: we're just mocking them now
disarmament is completely impossible PERIOD.  that cat's out of the bag.  even if we could magically gather up every warhead on the planet and toss them into the sun, there is nothing to stop the creation of more.  that knowledge exists, and cannot be wiped from existence. 

this was a bad idea.  :warp:
I like to stare at the sun.

 

Offline Alex Heartnet

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Re: we're just mocking them now
I maybe won't be so absolute about it being COMPLETELY impossible, just in case you end up being like the various naysayers throughout history that claimed something was impossible before someone actually accomplishes it.

 

Offline FireSpawn

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Re: we're just mocking them now
Our own Nuke will be the man to rid this world or nuclear armaments...by detonating them all.
If you hit it and it bleeds, you can kill it. If you hit it and it doesn't bleed...You are obviously not hitting hard enough.

Greatest Pirate in all the Beach System.

Peace is a lie, there is only passion.
Through passion, I gain strength.
Through strength, I gain power.
Through power, I gain victory.
Through victory, my chains are broken.
The Force shall free me.

 
Re: we're just mocking them now
I love how we're arguing morality in this thread, as if being morally just will somehow keep bad things from happening.

This is the real world.  Grow up.  The moral high ground is a public relations tool, not good policy in and of itself.

Are Israel and the US still planning to stop Iran by attacking uranium enrichment centers and nuclear power plants? If so, should we be worried about the potential collateral damage that would occur or would there be none? I've seen some graphics (tried to find, no success) on what was thought would be the effect (they estimated 3 million Iranians would suffer or die from the heavy fallout and subsequent pollution). If bombing nuclear reactors, which are now loaded, and it would cause such collateral damage, would that be an acceptable price to pay for peace? Would an invasion of Iran still follow, seeing as the Iranians might want to retaliate and still remain a threat for stability?
I'm all about getting the most out of games, so whenever I discover something very strange or push the limits, I upload them here:

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Offline Scotty

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Re: we're just mocking them now
So, ignoring the entire post's worth of leading questions, and continuing on:

Iran straddles that unfortunate line where, once they have a nuclear weapon, they're insane or short-sighted enough to want to actually use it.  If it gets used, which, considering the country in question, is significantly more likely than any time since WW2, many more than 3 million would die, considering retaliatory strikes.  Iran as a political entity would cease to exist.

Even if the reactors explode (which they shouldn't), and even if the fallout is distributed in the worst possible case (which it shouldn't), three million now is better than fifty million in a few years.  The moral high ground is great when you can realistically gain advantage from it.  If you can't gain advantage from it, it's a liability.

 

Offline jr2

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Re: we're just mocking them now
Oh ****.  That sounds like the reasoning used to bomb Hiroshima and Nagasaki.  Yet, how many times does the US get thanked for nuking Japan into submission instead of resorting to crude fire-bombing and ground assaults that would have possibly cost 5x more lives for both sides??

Problem is, people can't see the forest for the trees.   "ZOMGWTFBBQNUUUUUKESS555!!!111 --- CNN sez theezRbad!!"

Which, don't get me wrong, if Iran got them, they most likely would be.  North Korea has enough self-preservation instinct to be deterred by the surety of complete and total decimation if they launched nukes at South Korea instead of just steamrolling down their with their Soviet tanks like they did last time.  I'm pretty sure all they would do with nukes is a) extort money and b) sell them for money ... which could be just as bad if they sold them to the wrong people.

Iran... well, FFS, if someone believes the only way they are assured a pleasant afterlife is to die in battle, and has a proclivity to act on said beliefs, what would possess you to stop at anything short of genocide to prevent them from getting a Weapon of Mass Destruction?
« Last Edit: July 25, 2012, 02:37:12 pm by jr2 »

 

Offline Alex Heartnet

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Re: we're just mocking them now
...How many conventional warheads does Iran have, anyway?  Between Iran's stockpile of conventional Sunburn and Onyx missiles, and Iran's 1332 lb rocket artillery warheads, the US Navy is in for a world of hurt if they move into the potential shooting gallery that is the Strait of Hormuz.

Ship defense systems like the Aegis currently in use can stop the Sunburn 95% of the time, but such testing was done in open seas, and the Strait doesn’t allow for the normal defense in depth available in open seas.  US warplanes just aren't going to be able to spot and destroy every single missile platform, especially when you consider that the Sunburn can be launched from a platform as simple as a flatbed truck.

Still eager to see a US invasion of Iran?

 

Offline FireSpawn

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Re: we're just mocking them now
Why don't we all agree that if ANY major nation invades another en force, everyone involved is in for a world of hurt due to the arms each has to hand.
If you hit it and it bleeds, you can kill it. If you hit it and it doesn't bleed...You are obviously not hitting hard enough.

Greatest Pirate in all the Beach System.

Peace is a lie, there is only passion.
Through passion, I gain strength.
Through strength, I gain power.
Through power, I gain victory.
Through victory, my chains are broken.
The Force shall free me.

 

Offline Sushi

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Re: we're just mocking them now
Somehow I can't see the CIA or the Mossad being the source of malware that plays music. It's not in their best interests to basically hold up a neon sign that says, "HEY GUYS, YOU ARE INFECTED, ROCK ON!"

This bears repeating.

  
Re: we're just mocking them now
So, ignoring the entire post's worth of leading questions, and continuing on:

Iran straddles that unfortunate line where, once they have a nuclear weapon, they're insane or short-sighted enough to want to actually use it.  If it gets used, which, considering the country in question, is significantly more likely than any time since WW2, many more than 3 million would die, considering retaliatory strikes.  Iran as a political entity would cease to exist.

Even if the reactors explode (which they shouldn't), and even if the fallout is distributed in the worst possible case (which it shouldn't), three million now is better than fifty million in a few years.  The moral high ground is great when you can realistically gain advantage from it.  If you can't gain advantage from it, it's a liability.

That's quite an ugly calculus, I personally would consider Iran much less of a threat than is presented in western media. Thanks for your response though, interesting to hear how much you value the lives of so many others.

Personally I wouldn't consider Iran much of a threat at all for anyone, they're on a defensive being threatened constantly for at least four years, or perhaps even going back to the Iran Contra. They weren't involved with aggressive wars as far as I know for quite some time. Also the WMD scare has been used before with Iraq, which turned out not completely true.

But in the end the truth is somewhere in between or completely lost so it's always based on interpretations and limited information.

I'm all about getting the most out of games, so whenever I discover something very strange or push the limits, I upload them here:

http://www.youtube.com/user/JCDentonCZ

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The End of History has come and gone.

 

Offline Scotty

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Re: we're just mocking them now
It might be ugly, but it's not wrong.  Three million now is better than 50 million in a few years.  Add to that, a country's citizens are always worth more to it than another country's citizens are (if they're not, there's something wrong).  Anyone who tells you different is trying to sell you something.  Iran's three million projected dead (which I still doubt) are worth much less to the Israeli government than a few hundred thousand of their own.  The same is true in the reverse.

Again, welcome to the real world.

 
Re: we're just mocking them now
So, ignoring the entire post's worth of leading questions, and continuing on:

Iran straddles that unfortunate line where, once they have a nuclear weapon, they're insane or short-sighted enough to want to actually use it.  If it gets used, which, considering the country in question, is significantly more likely than any time since WW2, many more than 3 million would die, considering retaliatory strikes.  Iran as a political entity would cease to exist.

Even if the reactors explode (which they shouldn't), and even if the fallout is distributed in the worst possible case (which it shouldn't), three million now is better than fifty million in a few years.  The moral high ground is great when you can realistically gain advantage from it.  If you can't gain advantage from it, it's a liability.

That's quite an ugly calculus, I personally would consider Iran much less of a threat than is presented in western media. Thanks for your response though, interesting to hear how much you value the lives of so many others.

Personally I wouldn't consider Iran much of a threat at all for anyone, they're on a defensive being threatened constantly for at least four years, or perhaps even going back to the Iran Contra. They weren't involved with aggressive wars as far as I know for quite some time. Also the WMD scare has been used before with Iraq, which turned out not completely true.

But in the end the truth is somewhere in between or completely lost so it's always based on interpretations and limited information.
:yes: to this.

I'll be elaborating a longer reply to the arguments later. I'm a little too busy right now.

Also, @Scotty, I'm ignoring your posts from now on, on the basis that I've decided it's not worth the time.

 

Offline Alex Heartnet

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Re: we're just mocking them now
Add to that, a country's citizens are always worth more to it than another country's citizens are (if they're not, there's something wrong).

If another country's citizens are worth more then one's own, then won't the winning move for the US be to not get involved at all?  The Islamic Belt is surrounded by some pretty tough neighbors - India, China, Russia.  And they are much more exposed to Islamic Terror then the US is, what with the protection our oceans gives us.  If we were to pull out from the middle east, those countries would have to respond to supposed military threats from Iran themselves, and all three of those countries not only possess nuclear capability, but are also far stronger economically then Iran is.

Not that I would accuse the US government of any kind of rationality, mind you.  I am sincerely beginning to doubt that US citizens are actually worth much to our government, which according to your logic begs the question of what exactly is wrong and whom they are concerned about.