Either your understanding of the world as it is today is even less rooted in reality than I thought it was or you're attempting to turn an analogy into one of those stupid forum battles where you think that cause you type something it makes it true.
South Africa is the only country in Africa with nukes. It has next to none and it lacks the delivery system to hit Russia.
I said if you want to make a ACCURATE comparison in terms of the power of both sides (Sol & GTVA), not in terms of RL. Since when does Sol have uber-super weapons(the proverbial nukes) and the GTVA doesn't?
Now let's analyze the situation:
1. ManpowerCapella, which on the far side of nowhere has 250 million humans. Look how far it is from Sol and the core of human space - it's definately a later colony.
It's safe to assume that the inner colonies are far better off and with a much higher population, especially the first colonies, like Delta Serpentis. Population is becoming a problem now, so it's safe to assume there's been a LOT of immigration.
It's a safe bet that just the human colonies have a bigger population than Earth. Now factor in the vasudans.
2. ResourcesThe only exclusive resource mentioned in Sol is Argon gas. In 20+ systems that are mostly vergin territory compared to Sol you can bet you will have a lot more resources than Sol has.
3. InfrastructureVasudans, without Vasuda Prime, seem to have a perfectly healthy production infrastructure, since they are replacing all of their destroyers with Hatties. Humans have been recovering slower, but it's a safe bet that they have a good infrastructure as well. After 14 years of war the infrastructure needed to mantain a war machine is surely established on most planets. Hades...Colossuss..and a bunch of new warship classes..I'd say their infrastructure is doing very well.
Let's not forget a nice example of the USA who in a very short ammount of time went from a colony to a power that eclipses it's old home (Europe)
4. Military2 races with 20+ star system would definately field a bigger war machine than a single system.. Especially after the shivan BBQ demonstration. It wil ltake GTVA 5-10 years to get a Knossos up and running and you cna bet that in that time they WILL beef up their military significantly.
5. Going to WarYou say that Earth might be so scared of another sihan invasion that they beefed up their defenses. I agree..in fact, hat's what happens in my campaign. However, there are two things to consider:
- the GTVA beefing up theirs as well
- If they did for fear of shivans, you REALLY think that after contact is re-esablished and the GTVA tells them the shivies used 80 ships (that make Lucy look like a whimp) to blow up a star..that after that they will decide to go to war with the GTVA? If anything thy would be evenmore scared and want an union, insted of a war that could only end up badly..and even in the bestest of best scenarios, weaken them considerably.
Also, someone correct me if I'm wrong, but the systems/planets had a large degree of autonomy withing the GTA and they have it also with the GTVA now. So I really don' understand what kind of a friction you're reffering to here, since the old way of governing planets would be tthe same as the new.
the only possible friction would be if the Sol government wanted to pull the strings (which is doubtfull, the alliance was formed before the link was severed so the Sol would know how the GTVA works).
Even then, the public support would be vvery questionable.